Chance, Luck and Moral Book-keeping...
Sun Apr 18, 2010 4:07 am
Hi,
We have all met mentally paralysed people impossibly waiting for good luck, and dismal faillures hiding their own responsibilities behind a delusion of truly bad luck. And when we do, we may be forgiven for believing and even stating, that there is no such thing as luck, and that we do not believe in luck.
And yet, plenty of things happen without any uncontrived causes, specifically without there being anyone who can reasonably be blamed, or, as the case may be, praised. Whether we use the word 'luck', or the word 'chance' or any other synonym, there seems to be a place in life for events that just, well, happen.
The cardinal principle that every event has a rational explanation or natural cause, goes back at least to Leibniz, a contemporary of Isaac Newton. Each of them in his own way invented the calculus, and neither of them lived to see the development of an adequate theory of partial differential equations.
Why partial differential equations? Because they teach us that some, indeed most, initial/boundary-value problems, are NOT well-posed, and this proves that many of the things we take to be events do not, for mathematical reasons, have causes.
Now Leibniz and Newton can be excused for believing in ubiquitous causation, in our day such a belief constitutes a symptom of inadequate mathematical general knowledge.
The reality of chance/luck is a price we pay for having describable order in the universe.
Tataa!

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